Thursday, February 17, 2011
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
Snow, Very Cold Temps, With A Bright Warmer Weekend
Anyone suffering winter fatigue yet in the deep south? Tired of hearing about winter weather watches, warnings, and advisories?! I can tell you make it through Wed Night/Thu AM, and into the early weekend and things will be night and day; much like things are today starting off for much of Central MS.
Clouds will quickly spread from west to east this afternoon with precipitation following as well. For parts of NW MS (Greenwood, Greenville, Grenada--Along The Hwy 82 Corridor) most of those area's will start as snow with gusty winds. As you transition from NW to SE across the state there will be snow then rain...and it will take time for the central ms area's to change from rain to snow. This a quick moving but powerful winter storm system that will bring a 6 hour window for most places to see falling precipitation. This event isn't like our previous winter weather storms---as there will be rain or snow or rain changing to snow--with no worries of freezing rain. Temps will fall quickly as the clouds and precipitation shield pushes east and the day goes on.
Currently the forecast is: Snow should change over around the rush hour for Central MS (5-6 PM). The farther North and West you go from Jackson the higher the totals will be. It's possible for the Delta to see a solid 3-5 inches, with the Central MS area to see 1-2+ inches. Farther South and East it will take the longest for the rain to change to snow, so there will be the chance for the more rain to be on the ground when the snow starts. It will take those area's longer to see any accumulating snow to occur, so those area's might see along/north of Hwy 84 a dusting to maybe at best a 1" of snow accumulation. As you travel from NW to SE across MS the snowfall accumulation totals will be dramatically different and there will be a sharp gradient from large accumulations to none. As the temps will be fall to freezing and below overnight with many locations falling into the low-mid 20's....what falls earlier in the day/evening might have the chance to freeze up on the roadways some overnight and cause hazardous driving conditions early Thursday AM. Elevated surfaces, bridges, overpasses, etc will be the primary concerned.
Currently most of NW/Central MS is under a Winter Storm Warning. You may click on the following link to scroll to find your county/town for the specifics of totals/timing/impacts of this winter storm: Winter Storm Warning Details For Your County/City
Current graphical predictions for snow accumulations across the region (this map updates all day so anytime you view it the latest forecast is shown):
Current graphical timing of the freezing line, precipitation type, and expected times it should reach different parts of the Magnolia State (this map updates all day so anytime you view it the latest forecast is shown):
You may visit anytime the following link to the National Weather Service Jackson where you can click on your county or type in your zip code to see current forecasts, temps, and information regarding the winter storm by clicking: National Weather Service Jackson, MS
Thursday and Friday will be cold, blustery, below average temp days with snow pack of large amounts directly to our northwest and a strong front changing our winds out of the northwest blowing over the cold snow will make temps for those two days VERY chilly. However, by the weekend a warm-up starts and by the start of next week a lot of the MS area will see daytime High's in the 60's and Low's in the 40's.
Clouds will quickly spread from west to east this afternoon with precipitation following as well. For parts of NW MS (Greenwood, Greenville, Grenada--Along The Hwy 82 Corridor) most of those area's will start as snow with gusty winds. As you transition from NW to SE across the state there will be snow then rain...and it will take time for the central ms area's to change from rain to snow. This a quick moving but powerful winter storm system that will bring a 6 hour window for most places to see falling precipitation. This event isn't like our previous winter weather storms---as there will be rain or snow or rain changing to snow--with no worries of freezing rain. Temps will fall quickly as the clouds and precipitation shield pushes east and the day goes on.
Currently the forecast is: Snow should change over around the rush hour for Central MS (5-6 PM). The farther North and West you go from Jackson the higher the totals will be. It's possible for the Delta to see a solid 3-5 inches, with the Central MS area to see 1-2+ inches. Farther South and East it will take the longest for the rain to change to snow, so there will be the chance for the more rain to be on the ground when the snow starts. It will take those area's longer to see any accumulating snow to occur, so those area's might see along/north of Hwy 84 a dusting to maybe at best a 1" of snow accumulation. As you travel from NW to SE across MS the snowfall accumulation totals will be dramatically different and there will be a sharp gradient from large accumulations to none. As the temps will be fall to freezing and below overnight with many locations falling into the low-mid 20's....what falls earlier in the day/evening might have the chance to freeze up on the roadways some overnight and cause hazardous driving conditions early Thursday AM. Elevated surfaces, bridges, overpasses, etc will be the primary concerned.
Currently most of NW/Central MS is under a Winter Storm Warning. You may click on the following link to scroll to find your county/town for the specifics of totals/timing/impacts of this winter storm: Winter Storm Warning Details For Your County/City
Current graphical predictions for snow accumulations across the region (this map updates all day so anytime you view it the latest forecast is shown):
Current graphical timing of the freezing line, precipitation type, and expected times it should reach different parts of the Magnolia State (this map updates all day so anytime you view it the latest forecast is shown):
You may visit anytime the following link to the National Weather Service Jackson where you can click on your county or type in your zip code to see current forecasts, temps, and information regarding the winter storm by clicking: National Weather Service Jackson, MS
Thursday and Friday will be cold, blustery, below average temp days with snow pack of large amounts directly to our northwest and a strong front changing our winds out of the northwest blowing over the cold snow will make temps for those two days VERY chilly. However, by the weekend a warm-up starts and by the start of next week a lot of the MS area will see daytime High's in the 60's and Low's in the 40's.
Wednesday, February 2, 2011
So Here We Are Again Facing Another Winter Storm
Ok Everyone Here We Go Again.....I do know that it will be cold, blustery, and we will be seeing winter weather for at least half of the State of Mississippi. Like the last Winter Storm Threat we faced we aggravated some people based on the forecasts that were made and what occurred let me say this: forecasting weather is a science, and an inexact science at that. As bold and robust as the technology is that we have today in the weather world, many people think that it would be just that easy to figure out what will happen and where, and it's simply not. So we do our best to forecast things---and winter weather in the deep south will always be a precipitation amount and temperature challenge---and even for the best forecasters and best computers it's a struggle. Remember also that what you get at your house, is not what will happen 50 miles in any direction from you, or 100 miles--so we try to break things down, and to also provide generalized graphics. My attempt is to give you as much access to both sources.....So I will attempt to share with you the data that exists tonight as I write this, many of the pictures/forecasts I include in here auto-update as new forecasts are generated, and I will keep updates additionally on here and facebook as always.
There's a *WINTER STORM WARNING* In Effect For Much Of MS Which is in Effect depending on where you live from Thur AM to Fri AM----You may click on the bold colored link below and scroll through to find your county/town and it will better break down the expected timing and local expected impacts:
Winter Storm Warning Details---Find The Time/Impacts For Your Area
**FREQUENTLY UPDATED SECTION:** I will add every several hours updates here to what's being reported and going on. 5:45 PM Thu: The precipitation stretches from a line from Natchez-Vicksburg-Kosciusko-Columbus and South. The band Central MS experienced in the early afternoon was enough to cause some bridges to accumulate ice and wrecks to happen. I-55, I-20, I-220, And The Stack All Have Had Major Multiple Traffic Accidents. There will be breaks in the action for different area's but we expect the precipitation to significantly pick back up around **9PM through about 9 AM Fri** there will be significant bands of frozen precip to increase in coverage and intensity and parts of MS will be facing a crippling ice and winter weather scenario. Weather Models Indicate That The Precip To Fall Over Central MS Overnight Will Almost Certainly Be All Freezing Rain Leading To A Solid 1/4-1/2+ of Ice. Traffic and Travel Conditions will go downhill quickly---every one should complete travel and remain off the roads or if you have to be out use extreme caution. The Low Pressure Around Houston, TX has begun to move east in the gulf, and will throw large amounts of moisture over cold air, which will result in the Winter Weather Scenario. Remember that it's cold enough everywhere that whatever falls: snow (will stick), sleet (will accumulate), and freezing rain (will quickly glaze surfaces).
Here's a graphical information cast which will auto-update through the day with current timing, what's happening on radar and where (so the title/subject will change but will be the latest product):
Now expanding things to a more large-scale window of the multi-state area breaking things down, **ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH FRIDAY** starting with a graphical map which will auto-update throughout the whole event (so whatever you see there when you login is accurate):
Currently we are thinking that a corridor from about Natchez-McComb-Jackson-Kosciusko area will possibly be hit with the largest accumulations of ice. The other area's will see a mixed bag or primarily other types as depicted by the maps. Temps in central ms have fallen into the mid-upper 20's to right around freezing to the south we really don't expect temps for much of the area to get at-or-above freezing till sometime Friday AM (hopefully by 9 AM). So there could be significant accumulations of ice in some area's.
You can at anytime click on this site National Weather Service Jackson, MS and see a regional map--which will look like a paint wheel for an artist with all the colors---but either click on where you think you approx live in your county, or type in the upper left hand corner of the page your town/zip for the absolute latest official forecasts.
As with any Winter Storm Situation----if you need groceries or are low on some stuff, grab them early if you live in an area that might be impacted for a day or two (you will use them anyway); if you need gas, go ahead and fill up a little early (you will use it anyway); if you need to check on blankets, flashlight batteries, etc go ahead (you will need them anyway). People sometimes feel as if the meteorologist panic people or enjoy the hype or paint a worst case scenario---and we have to give you all the data we can, and then you have to be reasonable and prudent with it.
Now to round it out....Friday temps will warm in most area's and we will see things go above freezing--and change to mostly rain---however, there could still be a mixed bag of precip in some area's and that evening temps will fall below freezing again and there might be some light snow or freezing drizzle as the system completely moves out.
There's a *WINTER STORM WARNING* In Effect For Much Of MS Which is in Effect depending on where you live from Thur AM to Fri AM----You may click on the bold colored link below and scroll through to find your county/town and it will better break down the expected timing and local expected impacts:
Winter Storm Warning Details---Find The Time/Impacts For Your Area
**FREQUENTLY UPDATED SECTION:** I will add every several hours updates here to what's being reported and going on. 5:45 PM Thu: The precipitation stretches from a line from Natchez-Vicksburg-Kosciusko-Columbus and South. The band Central MS experienced in the early afternoon was enough to cause some bridges to accumulate ice and wrecks to happen. I-55, I-20, I-220, And The Stack All Have Had Major Multiple Traffic Accidents. There will be breaks in the action for different area's but we expect the precipitation to significantly pick back up around **9PM through about 9 AM Fri** there will be significant bands of frozen precip to increase in coverage and intensity and parts of MS will be facing a crippling ice and winter weather scenario. Weather Models Indicate That The Precip To Fall Over Central MS Overnight Will Almost Certainly Be All Freezing Rain Leading To A Solid 1/4-1/2+ of Ice. Traffic and Travel Conditions will go downhill quickly---every one should complete travel and remain off the roads or if you have to be out use extreme caution. The Low Pressure Around Houston, TX has begun to move east in the gulf, and will throw large amounts of moisture over cold air, which will result in the Winter Weather Scenario. Remember that it's cold enough everywhere that whatever falls: snow (will stick), sleet (will accumulate), and freezing rain (will quickly glaze surfaces).
Here's a graphical information cast which will auto-update through the day with current timing, what's happening on radar and where (so the title/subject will change but will be the latest product):
As with any Winter Storm Situation----if you need groceries or are low on some stuff, grab them early if you live in an area that might be impacted for a day or two (you will use them anyway); if you need gas, go ahead and fill up a little early (you will use it anyway); if you need to check on blankets, flashlight batteries, etc go ahead (you will need them anyway). People sometimes feel as if the meteorologist panic people or enjoy the hype or paint a worst case scenario---and we have to give you all the data we can, and then you have to be reasonable and prudent with it.
Now to round it out....Friday temps will warm in most area's and we will see things go above freezing--and change to mostly rain---however, there could still be a mixed bag of precip in some area's and that evening temps will fall below freezing again and there might be some light snow or freezing drizzle as the system completely moves out.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Severe Weather (Tues) Cold & Blustery (Wed-Wknd) Winter Weather (Thu/Fri Nights)
Let me just start by saying the forecast for the next week is MUCH MUCH like the New Years Even-Following Week Forecast (don't blame me!)
A potent cold front (which will most likely will be creating the LARGEST winter storm of the season for the rest of the country) will be starting off in our area. An area of low pressure will develop to our west and move from approx Shreveport, LA to NE of Memphis, TN during the day Tuesday. At that time the low pressure center will be deepening (strengthen), and have a strong cold front along with it. At the same time upper level (which simply means when you think of the sky above you) dynamics (the "fuel" or ingredients we look for as signatures of severe weather and outbreaks) will be fairly high on some of the scales.
Damaging Winds up to 80 mph (in the delta primarily) and weaker tornadoes are possible. Damaging winds 60-70mph, and stronger tornadoes are possible mainly from Brookhaven-Hattiesburg-Meridian area where the dynamics are most favorable. With the squall line it's possible to see a tornado in any area with this system---however this shouldn't be a repeat of the tornado outbreak on New Years Eve. While we might see a tornado or two (the risk is pretty low) we will more likely see a larger number of damaging wind reports. Before we were concerned with possible flash flooding however with the fast moving pace of the line of storms that concern has diminished to almost zero; however you could still pick up a quick 1"+ of rain.
We are currently thinking the squall line will be developing or approaching the MS River Counties around the 12 o'clock hour and push east; the squall line should be mainly east of the I-55 Corridor by 4 PM, entering East MS and clearing the enter state by 7 PM.
Timing Of Squall Line And Severe Weather
During the day on Tuesday since this storm system will be "winding up" and be so large and powerful we can expect very gusty winds up to 40+ mph through the day and even after the line of severe weather passes (a wind advisory is in place to cover this. Once the front quickly passes (which will be right along the severe weather) winds will remain gusty and colder arctic air will quickly come in behind it.
Now to the last part---the cold and possible winter type precipitation?! It will be cold and blustery behind the front with high/low temps well below average, and wind chills making most temps feel an even 10 degrees colder than they actually will be. We have two shots of light winter weather Thursday Night and Friday Night. This would be nothing more than something interesting to talk about or watch fall from the sky---
Winter Weather Possibility
A potent cold front (which will most likely will be creating the LARGEST winter storm of the season for the rest of the country) will be starting off in our area. An area of low pressure will develop to our west and move from approx Shreveport, LA to NE of Memphis, TN during the day Tuesday. At that time the low pressure center will be deepening (strengthen), and have a strong cold front along with it. At the same time upper level (which simply means when you think of the sky above you) dynamics (the "fuel" or ingredients we look for as signatures of severe weather and outbreaks) will be fairly high on some of the scales.
Damaging Winds up to 80 mph (in the delta primarily) and weaker tornadoes are possible. Damaging winds 60-70mph, and stronger tornadoes are possible mainly from Brookhaven-Hattiesburg-Meridian area where the dynamics are most favorable. With the squall line it's possible to see a tornado in any area with this system---however this shouldn't be a repeat of the tornado outbreak on New Years Eve. While we might see a tornado or two (the risk is pretty low) we will more likely see a larger number of damaging wind reports. Before we were concerned with possible flash flooding however with the fast moving pace of the line of storms that concern has diminished to almost zero; however you could still pick up a quick 1"+ of rain.
We are currently thinking the squall line will be developing or approaching the MS River Counties around the 12 o'clock hour and push east; the squall line should be mainly east of the I-55 Corridor by 4 PM, entering East MS and clearing the enter state by 7 PM.
Timing Of Squall Line And Severe Weather
During the day on Tuesday since this storm system will be "winding up" and be so large and powerful we can expect very gusty winds up to 40+ mph through the day and even after the line of severe weather passes (a wind advisory is in place to cover this. Once the front quickly passes (which will be right along the severe weather) winds will remain gusty and colder arctic air will quickly come in behind it.
Now to the last part---the cold and possible winter type precipitation?! It will be cold and blustery behind the front with high/low temps well below average, and wind chills making most temps feel an even 10 degrees colder than they actually will be. We have two shots of light winter weather Thursday Night and Friday Night. This would be nothing more than something interesting to talk about or watch fall from the sky---
Winter Weather Possibility
Friday, January 28, 2011
Weekend Forecast
High's Should Be Warm And Enjoyable, Low's Comfortable At Night, And Temps At Or Above Seasonal Averages. Quite A Nice Break For A Couple Days Before Rain Returns Sunday And The Temperature/Precipitation Coaster Starts Back For Next Week.
Enjoy The Bright Warm Sunshine----Go To The Park, Roll The Windows Down, Play Some Putt-Putt Golf, Check Out The Zoo, Etc...
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
AMAZING VIDEO THROUGH A RURAL SNOW COVERED COUNTRY ROAD OUTSIDE MEMPHIS
THIS IS A VIDEO I SHOT DRIVING DOWN A RURAL COUNTRY ROAD. IT WAS AN AWE INSPIRING SCENE AS THE SUN CAME UP AND YOU HAD ALL WHITE ACROSS FIELDS WITH A LIGHT LAYER OF FOG MIXED WITH SMOKE FROM CHIMNEY FIRES HUGGING THE FRESHLY FALLEN SNOW. GOT TO USE MY NEW WEBCAM AND GOT TO USE MY NEW BROADBAND CARD WHICH I NEVER LOST SERVICE WHILE BEING ONLINE FOR 5 HOURS!!
Memphis Snow-Chasing Trip--True Winter Wonderland!!
THESE PICS WERE TAKEN ON JANUARY 26TH, 2011 BETWEEN 3AM-6AM. THE MAJORITY OF THE PICTURES WERE TAKEN EAST OF THE CENTRAL MEMPHIS AREA AROUND GERMANTOWN AND TO THE EAST/NORTH TOWARDS THE BARTLETT AREA WHERE TOTALS WERE HEAVIER. NWS MEMPHIS REPORTS CONFIRM UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN THIS AREA:
(NWS MEMPHIS STORM TOTAL SUMMARY)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)