Severe Weather (Tues) Cold & Blustery (Wed-Wknd) Winter Weather (Thu/Fri Nights)

Let me just start by saying the forecast for the next week is MUCH MUCH like the New Years Even-Following Week Forecast (don't blame me!)

A potent cold front (which will most likely will be creating the LARGEST winter storm of the season for the rest of the country) will be starting off in our area.  An area of low pressure will develop to our west and move from approx Shreveport, LA to NE of Memphis, TN during the day Tuesday.  At that time the low pressure center will be deepening (strengthen), and have a strong cold front along with it.  At the same time upper level (which simply means when you think of the sky above you) dynamics (the "fuel" or ingredients we look for as signatures of severe weather and outbreaks) will be fairly high on some of the scales.

Damaging Winds up to 80 mph (in the delta primarily) and weaker tornadoes are possible.  Damaging winds 60-70mph, and stronger tornadoes are possible mainly from Brookhaven-Hattiesburg-Meridian area where the dynamics are most favorable.  With the squall line it's possible to see a tornado in any area with this system---however this shouldn't be a repeat of the tornado outbreak on New Years Eve.  While we might see a tornado or two (the risk is pretty low) we will more likely see a larger number of damaging wind reports. Before we were concerned with possible flash flooding however with the fast moving pace of the line of storms that concern has diminished to almost zero; however you could still pick up a quick 1"+ of rain.

We are currently thinking the squall line will be developing or approaching the MS River Counties around the 12 o'clock hour and push east; the squall line should be mainly east of the I-55 Corridor by 4 PM, entering East MS and clearing the enter state by 7 PM.

Timing Of Squall Line And Severe Weather


During the day on Tuesday since this storm system will be "winding up" and be so large and powerful we can expect very gusty winds up to 40+ mph through the day and even after the line of severe weather passes (a wind advisory is in place to cover this.  Once the front quickly passes (which will be right along the severe weather) winds will remain gusty and colder arctic air will quickly come in behind it.

Now to the last part---the cold and possible winter type precipitation?!  It will be cold and blustery behind the front with high/low temps well below average, and wind chills making most temps feel an even 10 degrees colder than they actually will be.  We have two shots of light winter weather Thursday Night and Friday Night.  This would be nothing more than something interesting to talk about or watch fall from the sky---


Winter Weather Possibility